Wisla Plock 0-1 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
33%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
69%
-27.0pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.4pp
33%
Away Win
12%
+20.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
373 Passes 247
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-2 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
08.03.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
22.07.2022 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-4 HT 0-3 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
07.05.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-3 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
20.11.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
08.03.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
0-1
AWAY Warta Poznan
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan nicked a narrow win over Wisla Plock 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Plock at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 57% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 43%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.17 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Warta Poznan?

Wisla Plock 0-1 Warta Poznan in the Poland - Cup on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 42%, draw 26%, Warta Poznan 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wisla Plock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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