Warta Poznan 1-2 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.67/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.31
+43% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 353
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
22.07.2022 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-4 HT 0-3 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
07.05.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-3 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
20.11.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
08.03.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
25.09.2020 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-3 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
1-2
AWAY Wisla Plock
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock edged past Warta Poznan 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Wisla Plock made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 45% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 55%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Warta Poznan and 1.33 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Wisla Plock?

Warta Poznan 1-2 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 37%, draw 25%, Wisla Plock 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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