Gornik Leczna 2-1 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 24% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.28/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.35
-10% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-3 HT 0-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
25.11.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 3-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
18.02.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
31.07.2022 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
19.07.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-2 HT 2-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL2
02.11.2019 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
2-1
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna edged past Stal Rzeszow 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Gornik Leczna made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 35% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 65%, shots finished 8-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stal Rzeszow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gornik Leczna and 1.50 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Stal Rzeszow?

Gornik Leczna 2-1 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 40%, draw 27%, Stal Rzeszow 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Leczna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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