Chrobry Glogow 0-4 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.07/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.24
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Nieciecza
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
05.08.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-5 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
04.03.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-2 HT 0-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
11.08.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
19.05.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
04.11.2020 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-2 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
0-4
AWAY Nieciecza
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza cruised past Chrobry Glogow 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Nieciecza made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 40% of the ball to Nieciecza's 60%, shots finished 5-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 2.17 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Nieciecza?

Chrobry Glogow 0-4 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrobry Glogow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 36%, draw 29%, Nieciecza 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chrobry Glogow), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chrobry Glogow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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