Nieciecza 1-2 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒20:22 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
43%
Away Win
31%
+12.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Katowice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 0-2 Katowice Katowice POL1
08.10.2023 Katowice Katowice 0-0 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
12.02.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
24.07.2022 Katowice Katowice 3-3 HT 2-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
27.10.2021 Katowice Katowice 1-2 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POLK
08.03.2015 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
1-2
AWAY Katowice
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice edged past Nieciecza 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 45% of the ball to Katowice's 55%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nieciecza and 1.17 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Katowice?

Nieciecza 1-2 Katowice in the Poland - Cup on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 33%, draw 23%, Katowice 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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