Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3-2 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 66%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.73/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/2.16
-31% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
12.05.2018 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 0-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
18.03.2018 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL
21.10.2017 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
24.06.2017 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz
3-2
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandecja Nowy Sacz edged past Cracovia Krakow 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cracovia Krakow at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sandecja Nowy Sacz had 43% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 57%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sandecja Nowy Sacz and 1.00 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Cracovia Krakow?

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3-2 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Cup on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sandecja Nowy Sacz 23%, draw 22%, Cracovia Krakow 56%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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