Mekelle Kenema 3-2 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelle Kenema
3-2
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema nicked a narrow win over Dire Dawa Kenema 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Mekelle Kenema made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mekelle Kenema had 33% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 67%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Mekelle Kenema 3-2 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelle Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 37%, draw 27%, Dire Dawa Kenema 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelle Kenema) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mekelle Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
24 Oct 2024
19:00 Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Fasil Ketema Analysis →