Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 32%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.40/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.59
+20% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
16.02.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 2-4 HT 2-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1-1
AWAY Fasil Ketema
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Fasil Ketema shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 59% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 41%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Fasil Ketema?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38%, draw 28%, Fasil Ketema 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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