Swansea City U21 2-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.31
No
42%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
24%
+22.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
76%
-22.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.9pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.36/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.31
-32% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.02.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 3-2 HT 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City U21 and AFC Bournemouth U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Swansea City U21 2-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 47%, draw 24%, AFC Bournemouth U21 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swansea City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
24 Oct 2024
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