24/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Al Ahli / Seda vs Smail Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
24%
Draw
27%
44%
Away Win
47%
54%
Under 2.5
56%
46%
Over 2.5
44%
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
55%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli / Seda v Smail — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Ahli / Seda
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Smail
EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
277 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Ahli / Seda vs Smail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ahli / Seda nicked a narrow win over Smail 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Smail at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Al Ahli / Seda vs Smail?
Al Ahli / Seda 1-0 Smail in the Oman - Sultan Cup on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli / Seda vs Smail?
Before kick-off our model rated an Smail win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli / Seda 32%, draw 24%, Smail 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Smail) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Smail)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
UMMSK
More Oman - Sultan Cup
24 Oct 2024