24/10/2024
·
17:10
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Saham vs Sur Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
35%
Draw
30%
22%
Away Win
34%
62%
Under 2.5
65%
38%
Over 2.5
35%
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
58%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saham v Sur — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Saham
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sur
EU Bookmakers 38%
+21% /
+21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
-60%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
396 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
363 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Saham vs Sur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Saham saw off Sur 3-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Saham as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Saham vs Sur?
Saham 3-1 Sur in the Oman - Sultan Cup on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saham vs Sur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saham 43%, draw 35%, Sur 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Saham)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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