Bayreuth 1-0 Augsburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.40/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.58
-47% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 8.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Augsburg II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2025 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 0-2 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
03.10.2024 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
17.11.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-1 HT 0-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
19.09.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
29.03.2022 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
28.09.2021 Augsburg II Augsburg II 2-6 HT 0-3 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Augsburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth nicked a narrow win over Augsburg II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Augsburg II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bayreuth and 1.17 for Augsburg II.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Augsburg II?

Bayreuth 1-0 Augsburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Augsburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Augsburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 35%, draw 21%, Augsburg II 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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