Augsburg II 1-1 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2024

Augsburg II
1-1 HT 0-0
Bayreuth
📅03/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Augsburg II vs Bayreuth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
40%
-10.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.3pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Augsburg II v Bayreuth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.16
+37% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Augsburg II vs Bayreuth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
17.11.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-1 HT 0-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
19.09.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
29.03.2022 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
28.09.2021 Augsburg II Augsburg II 2-6 HT 0-3 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
30.11.2019 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-1 HT 1-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
13.09.2015 Augsburg II Augsburg II 4-1 HT 1-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg II and Bayreuth couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Augsburg II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Augsburg II and 2.17 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Bayreuth?

Augsburg II 1-1 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 41%, draw 29%, Bayreuth 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Augsburg II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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