Hamburg II 3-0 Todesfelde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Todesfelde EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.31/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.39
+7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +48%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Todesfelde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II ran out comfortable winners over Todesfelde 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamburg II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Todesfelde?

Hamburg II 3-0 Todesfelde in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Todesfelde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 50%, draw 21%, Todesfelde 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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