Weiche Flensburg 2-0 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.65/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.73
-2% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
1W-2D-2L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-2 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
24.04.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
07.12.2019 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-1 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
09.02.2014 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg beat VfB Oldenburg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Weiche Flensburg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 2.20 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg?

Weiche Flensburg 2-0 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 42%, draw 30%, VfB Oldenburg 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
3 Oct 2024
15:00 Hamburg II vs Todesfelde Analysis →
15:00 Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg Analysis →
15:00 St. Pauli II vs Meppen Analysis →
15:00 Havelse vs Eintracht Norderstedt Analysis →
15:00 Türkgücü München vs Schwaben Augsburg Analysis →
15:00 Aubstadt vs Vilzing Analysis →