Lübeck 1-4 Teutonia Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2024

Lübeck
1-4 HT 0-2
Teutonia Hamburg
📅03/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.9pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.7pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lübeck v Teutonia Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.79/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.91
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 2-3 HT 1-2 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
05.12.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 0-3 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
18.09.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teutonia Hamburg ran out comfortable winners over Lübeck 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lübeck at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Lübeck and 1.00 for Teutonia Hamburg.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Lübeck 1-4 Teutonia Hamburg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 45%, draw 33%, Teutonia Hamburg 22%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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