Aubstadt 4-2 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.9
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
48%
-13.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.36/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.14
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Vilzing
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
5 Corners 4
23.03.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-2 HT 0-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
08.09.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 2-0 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Vilzing Vilzing 2-1 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt got the better of Vilzing 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 35% / 30% — and on the day Aubstadt made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vilzing led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Aubstadt and 1.75 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Vilzing?

Aubstadt 4-2 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 35%, draw 35%, Vilzing 30%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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