Aubstadt 0-2 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.86
Over 2.5
57%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.7
No
38%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
55%
+7.5pp
38%
BTTS No
45%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.57/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.97
-8% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Vilzing
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
5 Corners 4
08.09.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 2-0 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Vilzing Vilzing 2-1 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing got the better of Aubstadt 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Vilzing made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vilzing led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Aubstadt and 1.67 for Vilzing.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Vilzing?

Aubstadt 0-2 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 36%, draw 30%, Vilzing 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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