İtalya (K) 1-1 Japonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Oct 2025

İtalya (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Japonya (K)
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

İtalya (K) vs Japonya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.95
6+ Goals
12%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
51%
Away Win
43%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.6pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya (K) v Japonya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

İtalya (K) vs Japonya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Japonya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
28.05.2015 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) HAZ

İtalya (K) 1-1 Japonya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya (K)
1-1
AWAY Japonya (K)
0.64 xG 2.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
380 Passes 510
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İtalya (K) vs Japonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya (K) and Japonya (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Japonya (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İtalya (K) had 44% of the ball to Japonya (K)'s 56%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.64 to 2.55.

What was the final score of İtalya (K) vs Japonya (K)?

İtalya (K) 1-1 Japonya (K) in the Friendlies on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split İtalya (K) 26%, draw 23%, Japonya (K) 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Japonya (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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