ABD (K) 1-2 Portekiz (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Oct 2025

ABD (K)
1-2 HT 1-1
Portekiz (K)
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

ABD (K) vs Portekiz (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.46
Over 2.5
63%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.61
2-3 Goals
39%
2.43
4-5 Goals
24%
2.41
6+ Goals
16%
4.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.13
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
26%
3.99
X/2
3%
35.0
X/X
4%
15.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
2/2
4%
35.0
2/X
6%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
85%
-8.4pp
13%
Draw
9%
+4.1pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+4.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
25%
+11.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
75%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v Portekiz (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.35/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/4.50
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
39.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 0.0
20.2 Crosses 3.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

ABD (K) vs Portekiz (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Portekiz (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.07 xG 0.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
416 Passes 216
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 5
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.08.2023 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 ABD (K) ABD (K) KDK
04.09.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) HAZ
30.08.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) HAZ
08.11.2018 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 ABD (K) ABD (K) HAZ

ABD (K) 1-2 Portekiz (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
1-2
AWAY Portekiz (K)
1.63 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
272 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
41 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Portekiz (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz (K) edged past ABD (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ABD (K) at 76% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, ABD (K) had 49% of the ball to Portekiz (K)'s 51%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.63 to 0.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured ABD (K).

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ABD (K) and 0.00 for Portekiz (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Portekiz (K)?

ABD (K) 1-2 Portekiz (K) in the Friendlies on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Portekiz (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 76%, draw 13%, Portekiz (K) 10%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (ABD (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
24 Oct 2025
05:00 Meksika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K) Analysis →
19:00 Macaristan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K) Analysis →
19:00 Polonya (K) vs Hollanda (K) Analysis →
19:15 İtalya (K) vs Japonya (K) Analysis →
20:30 İsviçre (K) vs Kanada (K) Analysis →