Meksika (K) 1-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Oct 2025

Meksika (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Yeni Zelanda (K)
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Meksika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
68%
-3.9pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.3pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.6pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meksika (K) v Yeni Zelanda (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.93/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/1.75
-13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
26.8 Crosses 7.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Meksika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
The Meetings
05.07.2011 Yeni Zelanda (K) Yeni Zelanda (K) 2-2 HT 0-2 Meksika (K) Meksika (K) KDK

Meksika (K) 1-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika (K)
1-0
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K)
1.98 xG 0.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
26 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
279 Passes 215
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 3
24 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Meksika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika (K) nicked a narrow win over Yeni Zelanda (K) 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Meksika (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Meksika (K) had 54% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda (K)'s 46%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 1.98 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Meksika (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Meksika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)?

Meksika (K) 1-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) in the Friendlies on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Meksika (K) 65%, draw 18%, Yeni Zelanda (K) 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meksika (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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