Erbil 1-0 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 24 Oct 2025

Erbil
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Shorta
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Erbil vs Al Shorta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erbil v Al Shorta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 61%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.05/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.30
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
201 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Erbil vs Al Shorta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbil
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shorta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
28.04.2025 Erbil Erbil 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Shorta Al Shorta IRAK
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil squeezed past Al Shorta 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shorta at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Al Shorta?

Erbil 1-0 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Erbil 27%, draw 20%, Al Shorta 53%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Shorta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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