Erbil 0-2 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

Erbil
0-2 HT 0-1
Al Shorta
📅28/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Erbil vs Al Shorta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
6.35
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
13%
+2.4pp
31%
Draw
20%
+10.8pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erbil v Al Shorta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta beat Erbil 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Al Shorta?

Erbil 0-2 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Erbil 15%, draw 31%, Al Shorta 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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