Al Najaf 0-3 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

Al Najaf
0-3 HT 0-1
Al Karma
📅28/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Najaf vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.19
Draw
21%
2.88
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
42%
+7.8pp
21%
Draw
31%
-10.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najaf v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.47
-4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma cruised past Al Najaf 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najaf at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Al Karma?

Al Najaf 0-3 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Al Karma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 50%, draw 21%, Al Karma 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Najaf), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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