Al Hudod 1-2 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

Al Hudod
1-2 HT 1-0
Newroz
📅28/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Hudod vs Newroz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hudod v Newroz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hudod EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 56%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+145% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Hudod vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz squeezed past Al Hudod 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newroz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Al Hudod vs Newroz?

Al Hudod 1-2 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hudod vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Hudod 31%, draw 25%, Newroz 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Over 2.5
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