Al Talaba 1-1 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 22%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.51
-22% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Talaba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Maysan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.02.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Talaba vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba and Naft Maysan shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Talaba at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Naft Maysan?

Al Talaba 1-1 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 41%, draw 32%, Naft Maysan 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Talaba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
28 Apr 2025
17:00 Al Najaf vs Al Karma Analysis →
17:00 Al Hudod vs Newroz Analysis →
19:30 Erbil vs Al Shorta Analysis →