28/04/2025
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Al Talaba vs Naft Maysan Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
32%
Draw
26%
26%
Away Win
20%
64%
Under 2.5
62%
36%
Over 2.5
38%
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
61%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Talaba v Naft Maysan — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Talaba
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Naft Maysan
EU Bookmakers 22%
-24% /
-24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+34% /
+34%
1.40/1.20
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.49/1.51
-22%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
-18%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
327 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
226 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Talaba vs Naft Maysan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Talaba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Naft Maysan
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Talaba vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Talaba and Naft Maysan shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Al Talaba at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Naft Maysan?
Al Talaba 1-1 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Naft Maysan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 41%, draw 32%, Naft Maysan 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Talaba), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Talaba)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
28 Apr 2025