Juan Pablo II College 0-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.84/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.16
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.5 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juan Pablo II College
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.69 xG 2.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
275 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-0 HT 3-0 Juan Pablo II College PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juan Pablo II College
0-1
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.23 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
365 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 7
40 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos edged past Juan Pablo II College 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Juan Pablo II College at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Juan Pablo II College had 59% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 41%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.23 to 1.01 — on chances, Juan Pablo II College could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Juan Pablo II College 0-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juan Pablo II College win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Juan Pablo II College 48%, draw 28%, Comerciantes Unidos 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Juan Pablo II College), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juan Pablo II College) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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