Sporting Cristal 0-1 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 45%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.98/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.96
+51% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
11.5 Crosses 18.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Universitario
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.58 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
24.10.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
13.05.2024 Universitario Universitario 4-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
17.09.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
25.04.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.10.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
0-1
AWAY Universitario
0.81 xG 1.38
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
514 Passes 149
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario nicked a narrow win over Sporting Cristal 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Universitario found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 72% of the ball to Universitario's 28%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.81 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Universitario?

Sporting Cristal 0-1 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 33%, draw 32%, Universitario 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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