Swansea City 3-4 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 24 Nov 2024

Swansea City
3-4 HT 2-1
Leeds United
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Swansea City vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.5
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
9%
15.2
X/1
10%
8.15
X/2
14%
4.15
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.53
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 54%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.14/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.82
+18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
14.9 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Swansea City vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leeds United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.63 xG 1.69
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 435
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.02.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 0-4 HT 0-3 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
29.11.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 3-1 HT 2-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
12.07.2020 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
31.08.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
13.02.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 2-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
21.08.2018 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Swansea City 3-4 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
3-4
AWAY Leeds United
1.25 xG 2.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
409 Passes 287
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United nicked a narrow win over Swansea City 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swansea City had 57% of the ball to Leeds United's 43%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.25 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Swansea City and 2.00 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Leeds United?

Swansea City 3-4 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 26%, draw 29%, Leeds United 45%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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