Swansea City 0-4 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Feb 2024

Swansea City
0-4 HT 0-3
Leeds United
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Swansea City vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
47%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 27% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.13
1/2
11%
20.7
1/X
11%
15.3
X/1
9%
9.87
X/2
18%
3.97
X/X
10%
5.89
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.04
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
20%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
0.90/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.62
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +35%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 83%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
12.1 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Swansea City vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leeds United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.65 xG 1.64
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 411
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.11.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 3-1 HT 2-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
12.07.2020 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
31.08.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
13.02.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 2-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
21.08.2018 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
26.02.2011 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Swansea City 0-4 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
0-4
AWAY Leeds United
0.49 xG 1.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
362 Passes 556
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 36
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United swept aside Swansea City 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Swansea City had 42% of the ball to Leeds United's 58%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.49 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swansea City and 1.33 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Leeds United?

Swansea City 0-4 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 25%, draw 28%, Leeds United 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Under 2.5
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