Bristol City vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bristol City v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Bristol City vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bristol City
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Bristol City
İNLK
0-1
HT 0-0
Bristol City
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Southampton
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Bristol City
İNCL
Bristol City 3-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Bristol City got the better of Southampton 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Southampton at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Bristol City had 32% of the ball to Southampton's 68%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.21 to 1.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Southampton.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bristol City and 0.50 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Bristol City vs Southampton?
Bristol City 3-1 Southampton in the England - Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 24%, draw 31%, Southampton 46%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.