West Bromwich 2-0 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 33% vs market 32.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.25
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.75
X/1
20%
3.7
X/2
7%
9.32
X/X
10%
4.25
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
8.11
2/X
8%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.64/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
24.9 Crosses 14.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cardiff City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 241
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
15.03.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
17.08.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
02.01.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
28.09.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-4 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
28.01.2020 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
2-0
AWAY Cardiff City
1.99 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
561 Passes 314
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich saw off Cardiff City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, West Bromwich had 61% of the ball to Cardiff City's 39%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.99 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for West Bromwich and 0.67 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Cardiff City?

West Bromwich 2-0 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 51%, draw 27%, Cardiff City 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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