Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Feb 2024

Birmingham
1-0 HT 0-0
Blackburn Rovers
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Birmingham vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 27% vs market 17.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.15
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
9%
5.37
X/2
8%
6.21
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
23%
3.86
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.28/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.09
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.3 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Birmingham vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.42
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
271 Passes 443
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.11.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 4-2 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
01.04.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
31.01.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers FAK
28.01.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Birmingham Birmingham FAK
22.10.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 2-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
07.05.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 1-2 HT 0-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL

Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
1-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.66 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 Passes 243
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham edged past Blackburn Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Birmingham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Birmingham had 53% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 47%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.66 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Birmingham and 1.83 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Blackburn Rovers?

Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 35%, draw 26%, Blackburn Rovers 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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