Chelsea (K) 1-0 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-5.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.32/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.65
+40% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
29.9 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.67 xG 0.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
304 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-6 HT 0-4 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
21.01.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
17.11.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
1-0
AWAY Manchester United (K)
2.15 xG 0.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
359 Passes 162
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
39 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) edged past Manchester United (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 64% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 36%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 2.15 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.33 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Chelsea (K) 1-0 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 64%, draw 18%, Manchester United (K) 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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