Ipswich Town 1-1 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

Ipswich Town
1-1 HT 1-1
Manchester United
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ipswich Town vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 28% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.4
1/2
7%
21.7
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
11%
10.15
X/2
17%
4.11
X/X
13%
5.73
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.11
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 60%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.18/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.23
+77% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
17.0 Crosses 16.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ipswich Town vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Manchester United
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
The Meetings
23.09.2015 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNLK
27.04.2002 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
22.09.2001 Manchester United Manchester United 4-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
23.12.2000 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
22.08.2000 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Ipswich Town 1-1 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-1
AWAY Manchester United
1.59 xG 0.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
349 Passes 568
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town and Manchester United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 40% of the ball to Manchester United's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.59 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Ipswich Town and 2.20 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Manchester United?

Ipswich Town 1-1 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 26%, draw 28%, Manchester United 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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24 Nov 2024
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