Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southampton v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Southampton vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 2-2
Liverpool
İNP
3-1
HT 3-1
Southampton
İNP
1-2
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
4-0
HT 3-0
Southampton
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Southampton
İNP
Southampton 2-3 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool edged past Southampton 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Southampton had 38% of the ball to Liverpool's 62%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 1.28 to 3.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liverpool's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southampton and 3.00 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Southampton vs Liverpool?
Southampton 2-3 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southampton vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Southampton 21%, draw 24%, Liverpool 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.