Liverpool vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 2-2
Liverpool
İNP
3-1
HT 3-1
Southampton
İNP
1-2
HT 1-1
Liverpool
İNP
4-0
HT 3-0
Southampton
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Southampton
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Liverpool
İNP
Liverpool 3-0 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool swept aside Southampton 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Liverpool had 52% of the ball to Southampton's 48%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.58 to 1.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Liverpool and 1.17 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Southampton?
Liverpool 3-0 Southampton in the England - FA Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 49%, draw 24%, Southampton 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.