Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chelsea v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chelsea 3-2 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea nicked a narrow win over Leeds United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) landed.
On the day, Chelsea had 51% of the ball to Leeds United's 49%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.99 to 1.45 — on chances, Leeds United could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chelsea and 1.00 for Leeds United.
Chelsea vs Leeds United Result & Final Score
Chelsea 3 - 2 Leeds United in the England - FA Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 65%, draw 19%, Leeds United 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.