Holstein Kiel vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holstein Kiel v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Holstein Kiel vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Holstein Kiel
AFK
2-0
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AFK
Holstein Kiel 0-3 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 cruised past Holstein Kiel 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mainz 05 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Holstein Kiel had 38% of the ball to Mainz 05's 62%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.43 to 2.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Holstein Kiel and 1.50 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Mainz 05?
Holstein Kiel 0-3 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 33%, draw 25%, Mainz 05 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.