Mönchengladbach 2-0 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 24 Nov 2024

Mönchengladbach
2-0 HT 2-0
St. Pauli
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 29% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.46
X/2
8%
8.07
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
11%
5.76
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.13/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.51
+19% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.3 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
644 Passes 348
92% Pass Accuracy 83%
The Meetings
10.08.2015 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-4 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AFK
12.02.2011 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.09.2010 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
16.03.2008 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
25.09.2007 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-3 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL2
23.02.2002 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

Mönchengladbach 2-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
2-0
AWAY St. Pauli
2.34 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
481 Passes 481
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach saw off St. Pauli 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mönchengladbach as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 49% of the ball to St. Pauli's 51%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.34 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.17 for St. Pauli.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli?

Mönchengladbach 2-0 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 46%, draw 28%, St. Pauli 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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