Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Nov 2024

Jahn Regensburg
0-1 HT 0-1
Magdeburg
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Jahn Regensburg vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.27
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
9%
7.51
X/2
21%
4.66
X/X
14%
5.04
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.7
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 50%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.31/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.70
-26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
20.3 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Jahn Regensburg vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
192 Passes 362
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.08.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AFK
09.04.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
02.10.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
21.04.2019 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.11.2018 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-3 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
09.04.2017 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3

Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0-1
AWAY Magdeburg
1.40 xG 0.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
201 Passes 402
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Magdeburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 38% of the ball to Magdeburg's 62%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.40 to 0.67 — on chances, Jahn Regensburg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.33 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Magdeburg?

Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 28%, draw 28%, Magdeburg 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magdeburg) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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