Kaiserslautern 3-2 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
13%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.29
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.41
X/2
14%
6.25
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.03
2/X
9%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.66/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.95
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.8 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Braunschweig
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
336 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 5-0 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
17.12.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
08.04.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
02.10.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-1 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
18.12.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-1 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3
24.07.2021 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
3-2
AWAY Braunschweig
1.93 xG 2.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
297 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern edged past Braunschweig 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kaiserslautern as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 51% of the ball to Braunschweig's 49%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.93 to 2.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Braunschweig.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Braunschweig led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kaiserslautern and 0.83 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Braunschweig?

Kaiserslautern 3-2 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 42%, draw 27%, Braunschweig 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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