Canberra United (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.49
+64% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.21 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 Passes 289
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
04.11.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-3 HT 2-2 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
03.01.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
04.11.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 4-4 HT 3-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-1
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
0.59 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
266 Passes 346
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) and Perth Glory (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Canberra United (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 46% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 54%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.59 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.83 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 53%, draw 24%, Perth Glory (K) 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra United (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
24 Nov 2024
08:15 Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Analysis →