Macarthur 0-1 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 24 Nov 2024

Macarthur
0-1 HT 0-1
Auckland
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Macarthur vs Auckland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
9%
5.99
X/2
15%
5.2
X/X
13%
4.91
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.36
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Macarthur v Auckland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macarthur EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.65/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.83
+21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
22.9 Crosses 25.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Macarthur 0-1 Auckland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macarthur
0-1
AWAY Auckland
1.50 xG 0.36
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
525 Passes 264
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macarthur vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland squeezed past Macarthur 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Auckland found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Macarthur had 65% of the ball to Auckland's 35%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.50 to 0.36 — on chances, Macarthur could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Macarthur vs Auckland?

Macarthur 0-1 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 34%, draw 26%, Auckland 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auckland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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