La Louvière 5-1 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
0.67/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.18
-32% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
26.0 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Louvière
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lommel United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.09.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 2-0 HT 0-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
5-1
AWAY Lommel United
3.29 xG 0.48
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
192 Passes 349
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière cruised past Lommel United 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and on the day La Louvière made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, La Louvière had 39% of the ball to Lommel United's 61%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 3.29 to 0.48.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Lommel United?

La Louvière 5-1 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 36%, draw 23%, Lommel United 40%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lommel United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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