Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.59/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.52
+28% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +131%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-3 HT 0-3 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
30.10.2021 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR1
14.08.2021 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
31.05.2020 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 4-2 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0-0
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naftan Novopolotsk and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 52% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 48%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 1.25 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naftan Novopolotsk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 37%, draw 27%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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