Adama City 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
54%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.51
Over
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
37%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
15%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
28%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
54%
Away Win
43%
+10.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adama City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.73/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+60% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adama City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.05.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 4-1 HT 0-0 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adama City
0-2
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adama City vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance beat Adama City 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Adama City had 41% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 59%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Adama City vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Adama City 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adama City vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Adama City 21%, draw 25%, Ethiopian Insurance 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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