Croatia Zmijavci 2-2 Zrinski Jurjevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.19/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.24
-24% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
06.04.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 3-0 HT 3-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
10.03.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 0-0 HT 0-0 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
2-2
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Zrinski Jurjevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci and Zrinski Jurjevac couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Croatia Zmijavci at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 54% of the ball to Zrinski Jurjevac's 46%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.00 for Zrinski Jurjevac.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Croatia Zmijavci 2-2 Zrinski Jurjevac in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 51%, draw 27%, Zrinski Jurjevac 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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