Zarzis 2-3 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

Zarzis
2-3 HT 2-1
Etoile Du Sahel
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Zarzis vs Etoile Du Sahel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
40%
2.63
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.22
Over 2.5
32%
4.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.81
No
59%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.58
2-3 Goals
37%
2.11
4-5 Goals
12%
11.4
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
40%
Draw
35%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
78%
-10.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
22%
+10.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.0pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zarzis v Etoile Du Sahel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zarzis EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Zarzis vs Etoile Du Sahel Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zarzis
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.03.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 0-3 HT 0-2 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1B
POST-MATCH Zarzis vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel squeezed past Zarzis 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 40% / 24%) promised a tight game; Etoile Du Sahel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zarzis vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Zarzis 2-3 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zarzis vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zarzis 36%, draw 40%, Etoile Du Sahel 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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