EGS Gafsa 0-1 Stade Tunisien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.33
Over 2.5
29%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.67
No
64%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
1.75
2-3 Goals
34%
1.97
4-5 Goals
12%
8.87
6+ Goals
4%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+8.2pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-9.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
72%
-0.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
28%
+0.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
33%
+2.3pp
64%
BTTS No
67%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-100% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -65%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Stade Tunisien
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-6 HT 0-2 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TNUSK
26.11.2023 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-3 HT 1-3 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
16.09.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-2 HT 0-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN1A
07.04.2022 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN2
15.03.2020 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 3-1 HT 3-1 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TNUSK
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs Stade Tunisien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien squeezed past EGS Gafsa 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Stade Tunisien made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stade Tunisien led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for EGS Gafsa and 2.80 for Stade Tunisien.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Stade Tunisien?

EGS Gafsa 0-1 Stade Tunisien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Stade Tunisien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 31%, draw 34%, Stade Tunisien 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Tunisien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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